Half-time splits

What happens after the interval, by competition, pooled across every season held. Two separate questions: how often a half-time lead survives, and how matches level at half-time finish.

When a team leads at half-time

Of matches with a leader at the interval, how that leader finished. Matches level at half-time are excluded here and treated separately below, rather than being assigned to either side.

CompetitionMatches with a leaderLeader wonLeader drewLeader lost
Bundesliga 781 74.9% (585) 16.3% (127) 8.8% (69)
Championship 1274 73.2% (933) 17.3% (221) 9.4% (120)
Eredivisie 759 75.1% (570) 16.6% (126) 8.3% (63)
La Liga 858 72.5% (622) 18.8% (161) 8.7% (75)
Ligue 1 790 75.7% (598) 16.2% (128) 8.1% (64)
Premier League 942 72.4% (682) 17.4% (164) 10.2% (96)
Primeira Liga 717 75.0% (538) 17.6% (126) 7.4% (53)
Serie A 875 71.8% (628) 19.5% (171) 8.7% (76)

When the match is level at half-time

Of matches drawn at the interval, the full-time result.

CompetitionMatches level at HTHome winDrawAway win
Bundesliga 442 32.1% (142) 41.0% (181) 26.9% (119)
Championship 938 34.3% (322) 38.4% (360) 27.3% (256)
Eredivisie 474 32.7% (155) 38.2% (181) 29.1% (138)
La Liga 662 39.0% (258) 34.0% (225) 27.0% (179)
Ligue 1 507 35.9% (182) 35.7% (181) 28.4% (144)
Premier League 578 36.3% (210) 34.9% (202) 28.7% (166)
Primeira Liga 516 36.8% (190) 33.1% (171) 30.0% (155)
Serie A 645 34.9% (225) 38.4% (248) 26.7% (172)

Coverage

CompetitionMatches with half-time dataExcluded, half-time missing
Bundesliga12231
Championship22121
Eredivisie12330
La Liga15200
Ligue 112971
Premier League15200
Primeira Liga12330
Serie A15200

Excluded matches are counted rather than quietly dropped. A competition showing excluded fixtures has those matches missing from both tables above, not silently treated as level at the interval.

How these numbers were produced

Source
Finished fixtures held in this project's own database, 11,761 matches across 8 competitions, seasons 2022–2026. No third-party statistics feed is involved in these figures.
A match counts when
ft_home_goals and ft_away_goals both non-null (settled)
Half-time leader
team ahead on ht_*_goals; fixtures level at half-time reported as their own category, not assigned to either side
Second-half goals
full-time minus half-time per team; fixture excluded if either ft_*_goals or ht_*_goals is null
Suppression
Any cell with a sample below 20 is shown as "insufficient sample" instead of a rate. 320 cells are suppressed in this build.
Known exclusions
3 fixture(s) are excluded from the half-time figures because half-time goals are missing for them. They are listed in the manifest.
Built
2026-08-14 08:49:01 UTC, from commit 7e9181ffb9.

The full manifest (every parameter, a per-column census of missing data, and the complete list of suppressed cells) is published as manifest.json. Nothing on these pages is derived from data not linked here.