League reference
Base rates from finished matches, by competition and season. These are descriptions of what happened, not predictions and not picks — no model is involved. They exist so any claim made elsewhere on this site can be checked against the background rate.
Competitions
8
Seasons
2022–2026
Finished matches
11,761
Minimum sample
20
cells below this are suppressed
Results, goals and match events
Percentages are shown to one decimal place with their sample size. Where a sample falls below 20, the cell reads insufficient sample rather than a rate — a percentage over a handful of matches is noise, not information. Corner and card averages carry their own sample, which is smaller than the match count where a competition lacks that data.
| Competition | Season | Matches | Home | Draw | Away | BTTS | Over 2.5 | Goals | Corners | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bundesliga | 2022/23 | 306 | 47.4% | 24.5% | 28.1% | 59.2% | 60.5% | 3.17 | 9.71 (n=306) | 4.28 (n=306) |
| Bundesliga | 2023/24 | 306 | 43.8% | 26.5% | 29.7% | 61.8% | 62.4% | 3.22 | 9.89 (n=306) | 4.32 (n=306) |
| Bundesliga | 2024/25 | 306 | 38.6% | 25.2% | 36.3% | 56.9% | 59.8% | 3.13 | 9.64 (n=305) | 4.04 (n=305) |
| Bundesliga | 2025/26 | 306 | 43.8% | 24.5% | 31.7% | 61.8% | 63.7% | 3.24 | 9.75 (n=306) | 3.98 (n=306) |
| Championship | 2022/23 | 552 | 41.1% | 27.0% | 31.9% | 48.4% | 44.0% | 2.43 | 10.01 (n=552) | 3.91 (n=552) |
| Championship | 2023/24 | 552 | 44.6% | 23.4% | 32.1% | 52.4% | 52.2% | 2.68 | 10.65 (n=552) | 4.05 (n=552) |
| Championship | 2024/25 | 552 | 45.8% | 28.3% | 25.9% | 50.2% | 44.4% | 2.45 | 10.19 (n=552) | 3.82 (n=552) |
| Championship | 2025/26 | 557 | 41.7% | 26.6% | 31.8% | 56.6% | 50.4% | 2.59 | 10.35 (n=552) | 3.81 (n=552) |
| Eredivisie | 2022/23 | 306 | 44.8% | 23.9% | 31.4% | 52.6% | 59.5% | 3.06 | 10.62 (n=306) | 3.01 (n=306) |
| Eredivisie | 2023/24 | 306 | 43.1% | 24.8% | 32.0% | 56.5% | 63.7% | 3.24 | 10.55 (n=306) | 3.13 (n=306) |
| Eredivisie | 2024/25 | 306 | 45.4% | 25.2% | 29.4% | 55.6% | 55.2% | 2.99 | 9.93 (n=306) | 3.09 (n=306) |
| Eredivisie | 2025/26 | 306 | 44.4% | 26.1% | 29.4% | 62.7% | 61.8% | 3.18 | 10.45 (n=306) | 3.40 (n=306) |
| Eredivisie | 2026/27 | 9 | n=9 | n=9 | n=9 | 44.4% | 55.6% | 2.78 | — | — |
| La Liga | 2022/23 | 380 | 47.9% | 23.4% | 28.7% | 50.3% | 47.6% | 2.51 | 9.53 (n=380) | 5.37 (n=380) |
| La Liga | 2023/24 | 380 | 43.9% | 28.2% | 27.9% | 49.5% | 46.1% | 2.64 | 9.37 (n=380) | 5.00 (n=380) |
| La Liga | 2024/25 | 380 | 44.5% | 25.5% | 30.0% | 54.2% | 48.7% | 2.62 | 9.52 (n=380) | 4.69 (n=380) |
| La Liga | 2025/26 | 380 | 48.9% | 24.5% | 26.6% | 56.6% | 50.0% | 2.69 | 9.67 (n=380) | 4.68 (n=380) |
| Ligue 1 | 2022/23 | 380 | 42.9% | 24.2% | 32.9% | 58.2% | 56.3% | 2.81 | 9.25 (n=380) | 3.65 (n=380) |
| Ligue 1 | 2023/24 | 306 | 39.2% | 26.5% | 34.3% | 53.9% | 52.9% | 2.70 | 9.39 (n=306) | 4.12 (n=306) |
| Ligue 1 | 2024/25 | 306 | 46.7% | 20.3% | 33.0% | 56.9% | 55.6% | 2.98 | 9.36 (n=306) | 3.96 (n=306) |
| Ligue 1 | 2025/26 | 306 | 46.1% | 24.5% | 29.4% | 50.7% | 52.6% | 2.82 | 9.59 (n=306) | 3.99 (n=306) |
| Premier League | 2022/23 | 380 | 48.4% | 22.9% | 28.7% | 51.6% | 52.6% | 2.85 | 10.11 (n=380) | 3.66 (n=380) |
| Premier League | 2023/24 | 380 | 46.1% | 21.6% | 32.4% | 61.6% | 64.7% | 3.28 | 10.84 (n=380) | 4.32 (n=380) |
| Premier League | 2024/25 | 380 | 40.8% | 24.5% | 34.7% | 57.4% | 56.6% | 2.93 | 10.30 (n=380) | 4.19 (n=380) |
| Premier League | 2025/26 | 380 | 42.6% | 27.4% | 30.0% | 56.1% | 55.0% | 2.75 | 10.00 (n=380) | 3.84 (n=380) |
| Primeira Liga | 2022/23 | 306 | 49.0% | 18.0% | 33.0% | 43.1% | 47.7% | 2.49 | 10.62 (n=306) | 5.98 (n=306) |
| Primeira Liga | 2023/24 | 306 | 43.5% | 24.5% | 32.0% | 53.6% | 55.2% | 2.87 | 10.18 (n=306) | 5.31 (n=306) |
| Primeira Liga | 2024/25 | 306 | 43.1% | 25.8% | 31.0% | 48.7% | 49.0% | 2.57 | 9.52 (n=306) | 5.16 (n=306) |
| Primeira Liga | 2025/26 | 306 | 41.2% | 27.1% | 31.7% | 48.0% | 53.9% | 2.68 | 9.43 (n=306) | 5.21 (n=306) |
| Primeira Liga | 2026/27 | 9 | n=9 | n=9 | n=9 | 55.6% | 44.4% | 2.56 | — | — |
| Serie A | 2022/23 | 380 | 42.4% | 26.3% | 31.3% | 50.3% | 45.5% | 2.56 | 9.40 (n=380) | 4.69 (n=380) |
| Serie A | 2023/24 | 380 | 41.8% | 29.5% | 28.7% | 52.4% | 49.2% | 2.61 | 9.63 (n=380) | 4.49 (n=380) |
| Serie A | 2024/25 | 380 | 39.7% | 28.4% | 31.8% | 51.6% | 48.2% | 2.56 | 9.31 (n=380) | 4.02 (n=380) |
| Serie A | 2025/26 | 380 | 38.9% | 26.1% | 35.0% | 45.3% | 45.8% | 2.43 | 8.82 (n=380) | 3.88 (n=380) |
Home, Draw and Away are shares of the same match count, so they sum to 100% for each row. Goals, corners and cards are means per match.
Goals by half
| Competition | Season | First half | Second half | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bundesliga | 2022/23 | 1.49 | 1.69 | 3.17 |
| Bundesliga | 2023/24 | 1.51 | 1.71 | 3.22 |
| Bundesliga | 2024/25 | 1.47 | 1.67 | 3.13 |
| Bundesliga | 2025/26 | 1.44 | 1.79 | 3.24 |
| Championship | 2022/23 | 1.10 | 1.33 | 2.43 |
| Championship | 2023/24 | 1.24 | 1.45 | 2.68 |
| Championship | 2024/25 | 1.09 | 1.36 | 2.45 |
| Championship | 2025/26 | 1.20 | 1.39 | 2.59 |
| Eredivisie | 2022/23 | 1.36 | 1.69 | 3.06 |
| Eredivisie | 2023/24 | 1.31 | 1.93 | 3.24 |
| Eredivisie | 2024/25 | 1.33 | 1.66 | 2.99 |
| Eredivisie | 2025/26 | 1.44 | 1.73 | 3.18 |
| Eredivisie | 2026/27 | 1.11 | 1.67 | 2.78 |
| La Liga | 2022/23 | 1.12 | 1.39 | 2.51 |
| La Liga | 2023/24 | 1.20 | 1.45 | 2.64 |
| La Liga | 2024/25 | 1.15 | 1.47 | 2.62 |
| La Liga | 2025/26 | 1.15 | 1.54 | 2.69 |
| Ligue 1 | 2022/23 | 1.31 | 1.50 | 2.81 |
| Ligue 1 | 2023/24 | 1.21 | 1.49 | 2.70 |
| Ligue 1 | 2024/25 | 1.31 | 1.67 | 2.98 |
| Ligue 1 | 2025/26 | 1.22 | 1.61 | 2.82 |
| Premier League | 2022/23 | 1.32 | 1.53 | 2.85 |
| Premier League | 2023/24 | 1.36 | 1.92 | 3.28 |
| Premier League | 2024/25 | 1.36 | 1.57 | 2.93 |
| Premier League | 2025/26 | 1.19 | 1.56 | 2.75 |
| Primeira Liga | 2022/23 | 1.10 | 1.39 | 2.49 |
| Primeira Liga | 2023/24 | 1.24 | 1.63 | 2.87 |
| Primeira Liga | 2024/25 | 1.16 | 1.41 | 2.57 |
| Primeira Liga | 2025/26 | 1.20 | 1.48 | 2.68 |
| Primeira Liga | 2026/27 | 1.11 | 1.44 | 2.56 |
| Serie A | 2022/23 | 1.16 | 1.41 | 2.56 |
| Serie A | 2023/24 | 1.13 | 1.48 | 2.61 |
| Serie A | 2024/25 | 1.12 | 1.44 | 2.56 |
| Serie A | 2025/26 | 1.04 | 1.38 | 2.43 |
How these numbers were produced
- Source
- Finished fixtures held in this project's own database — 11,761 matches across 8 competitions, seasons 2022–2026. No third-party statistics feed is involved in these figures.
- A match counts when
- ft_home_goals and ft_away_goals both non-null (settled)
- Half-time leader
- team ahead on ht_*_goals; fixtures level at half-time reported as their own category, not assigned to either side
- Second-half goals
- full-time minus half-time per team; fixture excluded if either ft_*_goals or ht_*_goals is null
- Suppression
- Any cell with a sample below 20 is shown as "insufficient sample" instead of a rate. 320 cells are suppressed in this build.
- Known exclusions
- 3 fixture(s) are excluded from the half-time figures because half-time goals are missing for them. They are listed in the manifest.
- Built
- 2026-08-14 08:49:01 UTC, from commit
7e9181ffb9.
The complete manifest — every parameter, a per-column census of missing data, and the full list of suppressed cells — is published as manifest.json. Nothing on these pages is derived from data not linked here.